Show Me The Money 4
Ah the sweet, sweet taste of success! Last week got the fund roaring back into profit with both our headline bet on Tyson Fury and our double coming in. The nerves were frayed, akin to a sleepless 5 year old on Christmas Eve, waiting for the result of the Fury fight but the judges weren’t found wanting and the right result was announced. The fund is now up to €360.
Tonight’s betting initially doesn’t jump out at you straight away but after going full C.S.I. I’ve discovered a couple of value bets. The biggest fight of the night is Peter Quillin vs Daniel Jacobs. This is a very interesting and evenly matched fight which you don’t see enough of. It’s a genuine 50/50 match up with the bookies ever so slightly siding with Quillin. It’s hard to argue this as he is supremely talented and has cruised through his career so far. This has been half of the problem as at times he’s coasted in some fights, for example when he knocked down Hassan N’Dam six times and didn’t finish the job. Jacobs comes into this as the banger having separated 27 of his opponents from their senses via KO. Jacobs has the uplifting back story and I think he will come out all guns blazing for the KO and Quillin will opt to box at range. He will use hand and foot speed to keep Jacobs at long range and if he doesn’t get drawn into a firefight and concentrates fully for the 12 rounds it should be a tasty night’s work for Kid Chocolate. This fight is hard to predict so whatever you go for you would want to be putting some decent wedge in the coffers. I like Quillin to win a close but clear decision somewhere in the range of 116-112.
When you have a load of fights like tonight that are as hard to predict as Irish weather, what I like to do is throw them into a small accumulator and a Trixie so if you get one wrong you’ll still get paid out if the other two win. I look for value underdogs for these bets. It may just be an interim title but there’s an Irishman fight for a world title so Dennis Hogan is getting bet on. I think Jack Culcay is as overrated as the Hangover Fry Up (which never flipping works). Hogan boxes to a clear decision. Lenny Daws is another one who seems largely overvalued (Alka Seltzer hold your head in shame). He’s fighting a once-beaten Spanish prospect in Reuben Nieto so we’ll throw him in. Finally, the main undercard fight on the Quillin undercard features Jesus Ceullar who is evens to bang out Jonathon Oquendo but I’m going to get a tad fruity and say Oquendo lasts the 12 rounds.
Peter Quillin to win on points 5/2 €30 to bring in €105
Dennis Hogan 5/2 Reuben Nieto 11/5 Jesus Ceullar to win on points 2/1
33/1 accum to bring in €100 3 euro Trixie (total bet €12) to bring in €162
Ah fudge it, Hogan on points 5/1 a sneaky auld tenner to bring in €60
Tune in next week for advice on the big Sky Box Office show.
Fund now €305
Show Me The Money 4